ISW Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, November 12, 2026

Key Takeaways from the ISW: Russia and Ukraine have not agreed to a ceasefire against energy infrastructure as of October 12, as Russian forces continued to strike Ukrainian energy infrastructure overnight on October 11 to 12. Senior Russian officials confirmed that there is no ceasefire agreement as of October 12 and outright rejected any ceasefire proposal that would allow Ukraine to hold elections. A Russian State Duma deputy and a Russian ultranationalist mouthpiece supported the Kremlin’s rejection of an energy ceasefire proposal and openly stated that Ukrainian strikes against Russian refineries are not the primary driver of global diesel shortages. Ukrainian forces delayed a Russian strike package by striking Russian ballistic missile launchers located in Russia. Ukrainian forces did not strike Russian oil refineries on October 11 to 12 due to President Trump’s energy ceasefire announcement on October 11. Russian forces launched 121 drones against Ukraine overnight. Ukrainian forces recently advanced in the Oleksandrivka direction. JOIN US ON TELEGRAMFollow our coverage of the war on the @Kyivpost_official. See the original here.