Analysis byChief Political Reporter·NZ Herald·21 Oct, 2026 03:23 AM6 mins to readJamie Ensor is the New Zealand Herald’s Chief Political Reporter in the Press Gallery, based at Parliament in Wellington.Christopher Luxon said National wouldn't do business with Opportunity, but won't stake his job on it. Photos / NZ HeraldTHE FACTSChristopher Luxon in July ruled out National working with Opportunity, but has refused to stake his job on that commitment Recent polling shows the left and right blocs may need Opportunity to form a Government after the electionOpportunity is polling around the 5% threshold necessary to enter Parliament.When the sun rises on November 8, it may be Qiulae Wong calling the shots around Wellington. Okay, that’s not a certainty, but it’s a possibility. Regardless of what contributed to Opportunity’s rise – yes, the heightened media attention on a well-performing newcomer would have likely helped
Election 2026: Why questioning whether Christopher Luxon would resign rather than speak to Opportunity matters - Jamie Ensor
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